Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.007303 0.008213 0.009208 0.010379 0.011723 0.013222 0.015025
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005843 0.007070 0.008530 0.010405 0.012766 0.015662 0.019514
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004943 0.006269 0.007933 0.010196 0.013228 0.017196 0.022860
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004467 0.005887 0.007751 0.010411 0.014167 0.019367 0.027261
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004025 0.005478 0.007456 0.010397 0.014739 0.021048 0.031159
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003538 0.004942 0.006915 0.009947 0.014596 0.021635 0.033450
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003245 0.004647 0.006674 0.009891 0.015007 0.023069 0.037235
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003132 0.004598 0.006782 0.010363 0.016275 0.025985 0.043891
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002835 0.004242 0.006387 0.009996 0.016131 0.026546 0.046505
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002602 0.003964 0.006086 0.009745 0.016142 0.027352 0.049656
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002452 0.003805 0.005958 0.009765 0.016613 0.029013 0.054667
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002394 0.003788 0.006057 0.010176 0.017821 0.032164 0.063136
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002229 0.003586 0.005840 0.010026 0.018010 0.033466 0.068144
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002110 0.003452 0.005729 0.010061 0.018558 0.035563 0.075292
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001966 0.003264 0.005506 0.009859 0.018613 0.036646 0.080321
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001897 0.003201 0.005499 0.010066 0.019510 0.039617 0.090368
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001802 0.003085 0.005385 0.010052 0.019944 0.041637 0.098477
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001659 0.002873 0.005076 0.009620 0.019437 0.041470 0.100926
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001578 0.002766 0.004959 0.009566 0.019748 0.043236 0.108885
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001563 0.002785 0.005082 0.010020 0.021247 0.048047 0.126358
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001457 0.002620 0.004836 0.009667 0.020850 0.048137 0.130187
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001370 0.002490 0.004648 0.009425 0.020689 0.048803 0.135908
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001318 0.002422 0.004582 0.009444 0.021155 0.051168 0.147466